Elemental Insights

Field notes on AI strategy, enterprise technology, and systems that actually ship

The Revenge of the Enterprise
AI ResearchOctober 10, 2026Interactive

The Revenge of the Enterprise

When AI changes the economics of coordination. What happens when the thousands can finally learn and act together?

Skate Where the Puck Is Going 2
AI ResearchSeptember 10, 2026Interactive

Skate Where the Puck Is Going 2

Seven months after the METR projection: the 4-month doubling held, the benchmark saturated at 16 hours in May, three frontier models shipped in September without a horizon, and reward hacking is now the variable that decides what a horizon number means.

Pulse Report 1
ResearchSeptember 9, 20266 min read

Pulse Report 1

Week of September 7, 2026. A public-sentiment composite across six topics from search attention, prediction markets, and opinion trackers, with the evidence behind each score.

Skate Where the Puck Is Going
AI ResearchFebruary 23, 2026Interactive

Skate Where the Puck Is Going

A nod to the U.S. Olympic hockey win, and a clear look at where AI agents are headed: interactive METR data shows autonomous work horizons doubling about every 123 days through 2029.

GPT-5: First Impressions
AI ModelsAugust 10, 20253 min read

GPT-5: First Impressions

GPT-5 is not magic, and it is not AGI. It does bring tighter adherence, better voice, and a cleaner coding sandbox. A step forward, not a moon landing.

Why Claude Opus 4.1
AI ModelsAugust 5, 20253 min read

Why Claude Opus 4.1

Claude Opus 4.1 lifts SWE-bench Verified coding accuracy to 74.5%, up from 72.5% in Opus 4, with measurable gains in multi-step reasoning and data analysis.

What Gemini 2.5 Says About ChatGPT
AI AnalysisJune 19, 20254 min read

What Gemini 2.5 Says About ChatGPT

Gemini Pro 2.5 breaks down how Gemini 2.5 analyzes YouTube video and why OpenAI o3 falls short there. The real story: Google's data advantage is hard to ignore.

The Creative Power of AI - An Existential Use Case
AI CreativityJune 13, 20255 min read

The Creative Power of AI - An Existential Use Case

A simple meditation became an immersive visual journey through a carefully orchestrated AI workflow. The result still surprises me.

AI Development Tools for Non-Coders (Vibe Code)
No-Code AIMay 29, 20257 min read

AI Development Tools for Non-Coders (Vibe Code)

A practical assessment of the best tools for builders who want to ship software without living inside an IDE.

OpenAI: AI in the Enterprise
Enterprise AIMay 6, 20255 min read

OpenAI: AI in the Enterprise

The AI gold rush makes hard value hard to spot. I dug through OpenAI's enterprise case-study compendium and pulled out seven themes worth watching.

Rapid Proto Personas Using Generative AI
AI StrategyJanuary 20, 20254 min read

Rapid Proto Personas Using Generative AI

Ten slides can raise $50 million when the story lands. This piece explores how generative AI can sharpen that storytelling craft.

Complex Contagion: Network Dynamics in Social Behavior
ResearchJanuary 13, 20254 min read

Complex Contagion: Network Dynamics in Social Behavior

Complex contagion research changes how we understand network behavior: big ideas rarely spread from one exposure alone. They need reinforcement, context, and the right social structure.